Dirty Investing

Temperatures in Brisbane, Australia, fell to their lowest level in 103 years.  On June 27, temperatures dropped all the way to 36o F.  The average for this time of year is 53o F.

Here in the United States summer’s in full swing.  However, for some areas this week it may not feel like it.  According to meteorologist Megan Glaros, a “polar vortex will be shooting a pocket of cold air…, possibly resulting in record low temperatures all across large portions of the Midwest and upper Great Plains, including Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, and Ohio.”

To long time Economic Prism readers this comes as no surprise.  For this lines up perfectly with our 2014 global cooling thesis.  We may not know what we’re talking about most of the time.  But occasionally we get something right.  Naturally, we always take our due credit whenever we possibly can.

Yet where the stock market’s concerned, it looks like our best guess missed the mark.  We said the stock market would hit a wall before summer. Continue reading

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Refuse the Filthy Trash

What if the savings in your bank account lost 83 percent of its value over just 18 months?  We suppose you’d be a little disgruntled.  Unfortunately, that’s what has happened in Venezuela…

“Since February 2013,” reports El Universal, “the administration of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro has kept the exchange rate at VEB 6.30 per US dollar, compared with a hike averaging 83 percent in the price of goods.  Whereas in Venezuela’s major trade partners – United States, China, Colombia, Mexico and Brazil – inflation is much lower, what can be bought with VEB 6.30 in Venezuela is much lower than what can be bought with a US dollar in those nations.”

Obviously, Maduro’s mandated exchange rate isn’t fooling anyone.  If 6.30 Venezuela bolivars were truly equal to 1 U.S. dollar, they’d be able to buy the same amount of goods and services.  That they can’t, demonstrates Maduro isn’t keeping with his end of the bargain…he isn’t stewarding his nation’s currency to honestly achieve the exchange rate he’s decreed. Continue reading

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An Absolute Disaster?

Last Thursday the DOW surpassed 17,000 for the first time ever.  What a marvelous achievement.  The combined forces of mass money creation and speculative fervor have bid up the market to levels a person of sound mind and honest intentions never thought possible.

According to the Bank for International Settlement, in its recently released Annual Report, “financial markets are euphoric.”  The BIS also recommends that central banks begin raising interest rates while economies are growing so they can be prepared for the next recession.  Jim Edwards at the Business Insider has the particulars…

“The subtext (and not so subtext) of BIS’s annual report is that, because many central banks have reduced interest rates to zero — the U.S. and Japan included — they are without weapons to boost the economy should another crisis hit.  You can’t go lower than zero, basically. Continue reading

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Independence Day Hootenanny

Uncompromising independence, rugged individualism, and unbounded personal freedom were once essential to the American character.  According to popular American folklore, they still are.  We have some reservations.

In the year 2014, the ideas that roused America’s War of Independence are, alas, just ideas. Limited government and individual liberty were long ago squandered for big government.  Similarly, personal freedoms were turned over for safety nets and collectivism.

Was there ever a time when you could surf the web without the NSA ogling your every keystroke?  Perhaps there was a brief moment during the twilight of the last millennium.  We don’t know.

But we do know that gone are the days when you could earn a living without the IRS making a federal case out of it.  So, too, gone are the days when you could board an airplane without some TSA boob squeezer touching your most private parts.  Nearly all has been lost. Continue reading

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