The Digital Noose Tightens

“They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.”

– Benjamin Franklin

“Ultimately, arguing that you don’t care about the right to privacy because you have nothing to hide is no different than saying you don’t care about free speech because you have nothing to say.”

– Edward Snowden

GENIUS Act Update

In January, as part of our 2026 outlook, we detailed how the GENIUS Act, which was signed into law by President Trump on July 18, 2025, would bring about the next shift in American money. The GENIUS Act, if you recall, requires stablecoins to be backed one-for-one by U.S. dollars or short-term U.S. Treasuries.

This is a topic we don’t like writing about. In fact, we’d rather ignore it. But by doing so we’d be in dereliction of duty. So, today, begrudgingly, we offer an update on the latest efforts to tokenize the U.S. dollar – including the dollars in your bank account.

On April 8, 2026, less than 10 days ago, while most people were distracted with bomb dropping on Iran, the U.S. Treasury, its Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), and the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued a joint proposed rule to implement provisions of the GENIUS Act. This rule formally integrates stablecoins into the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA). Continue reading

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The Big Money Mirage

“Big money will be made.”

The remark was made by President Donald J. Trump on Truth Social following the ceasefire deal with Iran.

Who will make the big money is unclear. But it sounds good, nonetheless.

With the announcement of the two-week reprieve in bomb dropping and missile strikes, and the supposed resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the price of oil promptly dropped over 16 percent. By Wednesday morning both WTI and Brent crude were below $95 per barrel.

Perhaps two weeks will turn into a permanent ceasefire with Iran. As far as the greater Middle East is concerned, it’s unlikely. Israel was quick to clarify that the ceasefire with Iran does not include Lebanon. The war campaign in Beirut continues.

Back home in the USA, we’re witnessing a slow-motion economic train wreck. The promise of a low inflation strong growth economy remains elusive. Consumer prices are rising at an accelerated pace, while the jobs market is much weaker than advertised.

To fill the gap between rising prices and stagnating wages, consumers have loaded themselves up with massive amounts of credit card debt. Continue reading

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Is Everything Contained in the Private Credit Market?

Is everything contained in the private credit market?

An affirmative ‘yes’ was the conclusion recently offered by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

“We’re looking for connections to the banking system, and things that might, you know, result in contagion. We don’t see those right now. Interest rates are in a good place.”

Don’t mind the sudden appearance of restrictive redemption gates or the aggressive marking down of distressed collateral by the big banks behind closed doors. There’s supposedly nothing to see here.

Over the last decade, private credit was the ultimate speculative stretch for yield in a stubbornly low-yield world. It offered the seductive promise of higher reward, without the potential pain of higher risk. It became a fashionable place where wealthy investors could eke out a few additional percentage points of seemingly risk-free income and flatter their sophisticated egos in the process.

But now an eerie and familiar sense of impending déjà vu has settled over this shadow market. It’s a tragic movie we’ve already seen before. The one where localized and contained instability rapidly becomes systemic. Where financial contagion breaks out like a deadly virus through a crowded grade school classroom before anyone thinks to wash their hands. Continue reading

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Living Internationally

There are many reasons for living internationally. Fun and adventure. Meeting new people and experiencing different cultures. Better weather. Tropical beaches. Breathtaking mountaintop views.

There are also practical reasons. Business opportunities. Stretching retirement dollars. Diversifying assets overseas. Having a place to go if and when things go haywire in your home country. And many, many more…

Today we return with another guest article from our friend and cohort Joel Bowman and his Notes From the End of the World. Mr. Bowman, if you recall, resides for a good part of the year in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

There he’s been dependably recording President Javier Milei’s dismantling of what had been a deeply entrenched, corrupt, statist political caste. It is, as Bowman calls it, The Greatest Political Experiment of Our Time.

However, when he penned today’s article, he wasn’t in Buenos Aires. He was in Panama City, Panama – speaking at a conference hosted by the fine fellows at International Living. Continue reading

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