Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, recently said he wouldn’t buy long-term U.S. Treasuries. His rationale is simple, he “doesn’t understand the upside.”
Here at the Economic Prism, we don’t understand the upside either. But, unlike Dimon, we’re not running the largest primary dealer of U.S. Treasuries on Earth.
Primary dealers, remember, are the elite financial institutions obligated to participate in U.S. Treasury auctions. Their purpose is to help grease the wheels of Uncle Sam’s multi-trillion-dollar borrowing machine. Yet Dimon, the chief architect of that machine’s biggest partner, just publicly bashed the product.
So, what does Dimon actually mean? Why would the ultimate financial insider pass on what has long been purported to be the world’s safest asset?
To understand why Dimon “doesn’t see the upside,” we need to start with the single most fundamental rule of fixed income. When yields go up, bond prices go down.
Imagine you buy a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond today with a face value of $1,000 paying a fixed 4.5 percent annual interest rate. You’re locked into receiving $45 a year for the next decade. Continue reading







