Tag Archives: jerome powell

This Inflation Script Won’t Last

The Shiller’s cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio for the S&P 500 is currently 34.66. This is representative of a stock market that has lost all touch with reality. It even exceeds the 31.48 CAPE ratio hit in 1929, just before the stock market crashed and the onset of the Great Depression. Continue reading

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Why the FOMC Wants to Cut Rates

Capital follows a wide-ranging lifecycle. First it is imagined. Then it is produced. Later it is consumed. Ultimately, it is destroyed. How exactly this all takes place involves varying and infinite undulations over decades and centuries. Continue reading

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Dollar Debasement as A Matter of Policy

Michelle Mack thought she had it made.  The suburban mom was living the high life with her husband and kids in their $3 million mansion in northern San Diego County. But that was before December 6, 2023.  This was the day police raided her home, put her in handcuffs, took her away in her PJs and slippers, and threw her in the pokey. Continue reading

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Fed’s QT Taper Talks Are Already Behind The Eight Ball

The monitory policy order has changed dramatically over the last five years. For example, March marks the end of the Fed’s Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP). This, coupled with the rapid draining of reserves, suggests the Fed’s plans for tapering QT are already behind the eight ball. Continue reading

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