Tag Archives: phillips curve
This Inflation Script Won’t Last
The Shiller’s cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio for the S&P 500 is currently 34.66. This is representative of a stock market that has lost all touch with reality. It even exceeds the 31.48 CAPE ratio hit in 1929, just before the stock market crashed and the onset of the Great Depression. Continue reading
Why Janet Yellen is Toast
“The Phillips Curve is alive,” said Fed Chair Janet Yellen at Wednesday’s post FOMC meeting press conference. We’ll offer some remarks on this in just a moment, including why Yellen is toast. But first we must put her utterances into … Continue reading
Lost in Extrapolation
In the late 1970s the impossible happened. Inflation and unemployment simultaneously went vertical. The leading economists of the day were flummoxed. The Phillips curve said there’s an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. When unemployment goes down, inflation goes up. … Continue reading
