Are You Vulnerable to Physical Violence?

The U.S. government’s 2021 fiscal year came and went like Dow 36,000.

With respect to the latter, authors James Glassman and Kevin Hassett were only off by 17 years in their 1999 forecast of Dow 36,000 by 2005.  At this point, the attainment of their prediction is a giant letdown.

With respect to the former, we have a question: Does President Biden have any idea that the government he pretends to oversee is skirting the edge of insolvency?

Most Americans, like Biden, could care less about how the fiscal year’s final ledger tallied.  Three generations of budget deficits without pain have spread complacency about the ability of Americans to consume without paying.  Deficits don’t matter to voters.

Presently, only conspiracy theorists and wackos still place any importance on the archaic practice of government accounting.  Why bother, when you can buy shares of Tesla and hold on for the end of the world?

In case you missed it – and actually care – here are a couple of the high points and low points… Continue reading

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Bidenvilles for Christmas

“I used to be a conspiracy theorist.  But then all the conspiracies I followed turned out to be true.”

The remark was made by a friend and Wealth Prism Letter subscriber over a recent phone conversation.  We’ll have more on this in just a moment.  But first, some of what prompted the comment…

Here in the land of fruits and nuts things have always been a little whacky and wild.  The people and the politics in the state’s urban centers have the uncanny ability to bring out the worst in each other.  The coronavirus travesty has only magnified these character failings.

For example, all the stimmy checks, generous unemployment payments, and eviction moratoriums have had a predictable outcome.  They’ve created a burgeoning class of people who would rather loaf and invite their soul over plying their time and talents toward something gainful.

At 7.5 percent, California’s tied with Nevada for the highest unemployment rate in the country.  For perspective, the U.S. unemployment rate in September was 4.8 percent. Continue reading

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Walking the Path of Self Destruction

Central planners have destroyed the future.  Today we walk the path of their self-destruction…

If you recall, fiscal and monetary policies employed to counter the effects of government mandated lockdowns were supposed to stimulate a self-sustaining economic boom.  Instead, these policies of extreme intervention have stimulated chaos and destruction.

The official inflation rate, as measured by the government’s consumer price index (CPI), is rising at an annualized clip of 5.4 percent.  But that’s nothing.  Alternative inflation rates, which better reflect what consumers are actually experiencing, are double and triple the official CPI.

At the same time, the economy appears to be slowing down…

According to the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecasting model, as of October 19, real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the third quarter of 2021 is estimated to be just 0.5 percent.  This is down from 1.2 percent on October 15, 6 percent in late August, and 14 percent in May. Continue reading

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Are You Prepared for the Mass Repricing of Goods and Services?

Rising consumer price inflation is not going away.  This, of course, is counter to the “transitory” argument made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell earlier this year.

Powell’s cohort, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, recently admitted inflation is not transitory.  This admission comes with assurances the Fed will properly manage it.  We have some reservations.

The effects of rising consumer prices range far and wide.  For one, the pinch rising prices put on consumers is extraordinarily disruptive.  It acts like a hefty tax…eroding family budgets that are already stretched.  In this ongoing staglation, personal income gains lag far behind rising consumer prices.

Industrial materials and consumer goods companies also feel the pinch.  They can pass on some rising prices to consumers.  They can also absorb through lower profit margins some short term price increases.  But there are natural limits to what price increases can be absorbed and passed along. Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | 36 Comments