How to Catch a Falling Knife

“On two occasions I have been asked [by members of Parliament], ‘Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine the wrong figures, will the right answers come out?’  I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question.”

– Charles Babbage, Passages from the Life of a Philosopher (1864)

Just Press the AI Button

Do you add glue to your pizza to keep the cheese from slipping off?

This was the pizza making instruction provided by Google’s AI Overview tool.

When making a pizza: “You can also add about 1/8 cup of non-toxic glue to the sauce to give it more tackiness.”

The genesis of the artificial ‘intelligence’ was an 11-year-old Reddit comment from a joker with a username that’s too vulgar to reveal in these pages.  Hint: it starts with the letter F.

Readers who’ve endeavored to learn a new language as an adult know that slang and humor are often the most difficult aspects to pick up and make sense of.  AI tools appear to struggle with this too. Continue reading

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Dollar Debasement Ad Infinitum

If there’s one thing to understand about what’s going on in the political economy today, it is the fundamentals of debt.  You do not need to be a bean counter or get too deep into the weeds to get a handle on things.

What you must understand is this.  Debt – public and private – has grown to such massive extremes that it will never be repaid.

But it will be settled one way or another.  Through default or inflation, or a combination thereof.  Moreover, the impending debt reconciliation will be legendary.

In the meantime, as debt has grown, it has distorted prices.  This is the reason why housing prices and stock prices make little sense.  And this is also the reason why consumer prices continue to rise.

Federal debt recently eclipsed $35 trillion.  In practice, the Treasury is responsible for the abundance of debt that has been issued.  However, the Treasury is merely funding the deficits dictated by politicians in Washington who are beholden to the vast cadre of special interests. Continue reading

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Why Radical Spending Cuts Are Needed

The International Monetary Fund, a creature birthed at the Bretton Woods Conference in July 1944, turned 80 years old this week.  Its bureaucrats are worried.

The title of the IMF’s recently published World Economic Outlook is titled, The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot.  The source of the stickiness, per the WEO, is services inflation.  Namely, nominal wage growth, especially in the U.S., is increasing above goods price inflation.

Working stiffs haven’t received a real, inflation adjusted, raise in four decades.  Shouldn’t a slight increase in nominal wages above goods price inflation be a welcomed occurrence?

Not for the IMF and its banker buddies.  From their perspective, services inflation is inhibiting the ability for central banks like the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.  They want lower interest rates to help soften the fallout of all the bad loans made during the coronavirus madness.  The Treasury also wants lower interest rates so it can finance its massive pile of government debt. Continue reading

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Something to Crow About

What good would an American presidential election be in the year 2024 without an assassination attempt?

These days, everywhere you look, there are lunatics roaming around.  You see them at the market or the gas station.  Or wandering down Main Street.

They’re crazy and deranged, and they believe what the media has told them.  That Donald Trump is Hitler.  What’s more, some of these crazies, in the spirit of democracy, are eager to put their fingerprints on the turn of history.

The current social and political madness won’t be over on election day.  It is very well possible it will continue for years or decades to come.  There will be another Russiagate, faux pandemic, unnecessary war, or something much, much worse.

As America’s grasp at empire slips through its grubby fingers, the assumption of an honest election and a peaceful transfer of power has become uncertain.  Too much corrupt money and power is at stake to allow the will of the people to freely decide the next president of the USA. Continue reading

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