Tag Archives: business cycle

Sowing the Seeds of Mass Inflation

Around the time Elvis Presley choked on his last pill the impossible happened; inflation and unemployment increased simultaneously.  Economists were confounded. According to the Philips curve there was supposed to be an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment.  When the … Continue reading

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False Booms

Consumers are borrowing money again…and they’re borrowing a lot of it.  Last week the Federal Reserve reported that consumer credit increased $19.3 billion in December.  This increase dwarfed the $7 billion median forecast of a Bloomberg News survey of economists. … Continue reading

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Credit Market Killing Machine

Yields on the 10-Year Treasury Note remain below 2 percent.  Interest rates this low are extraordinarily abnormal.  They indicate credit markets are feeble.  Moreover, despite the Feds efforts to suppress interest rates, these ultra-low yields may be hurting the economy … Continue reading

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Heating the Stove with Furniture

Several important economic data points from last month were revealed this week.  Industrial production and the producer price index were reported on Wednesday.  Then, yesterday, the consumer price index was reported.  Here are the particulars… According to the Federal Reserve, … Continue reading

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