Life and Death in the Age of Fear

The general mood presently being fortified by the chattering classes is one of perpetual fear.  The basic stratagem includes continuously implanting the populace with extreme panic.  For a fearful populace is a subservient populace.

The current hobgoblin is the delta variant of the coronavirus.  The bug, at this very moment, is dispersing through the population…as viruses do.  And, per latest reports from the front lines, the lambda variant’s now on the loose too.

Nonetheless, there’s something on the loose that’s far more deadly to society than a mutated coronavirus.  That is, the virus of fear.  It originates with the control freak central planners.  Then it’s showered on the populace in rapid succession.

Last Sunday, for example, at the conclusion of a meeting of Group of 20 finance ministers, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she was, “…concerned that coronavirus variants could derail the global economic recovery and called for an urgent push to deploy vaccines more rapidly around the world.” Continue reading →

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What Happens When the Chickens Come Home to Roost?

What happens when the chickens come home to roost?

This is today’s question.  But what is the answer?  In just a moment we’ll offer several thoughts and ruminations.  First, however, we must take stock of the chickens…

This week, for example, the chicken counters at the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported consumer prices, as measured by the consumer price index, increased in June at a year over year rate of 5.4 percent.  This marks the fastest pace of rising consumer prices since 2008.  And if you exclude food and energy, prices in June rose year over year by 4.5 percent…the fastest surge since November 1991.

In reality, consumer prices have increased much higher.  The ‘unofficial’ rate of consumer price inflation, as calculated using methodologies in place in 1980, is about 14 percent.  This rate of inflation is exceedingly caustic to retirees, savers, and wage earners.

Still, the Federal Reserve doesn’t think it’s a problem.  On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell told the Senate Banking Committee he’s “not concerned” with rising cost of living.  He’s still asserting price inflation is transitory; that soon the price of used cars will abate and inflation will fall below the Fed’s 2 percent annual target. Continue reading →

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Is the Great Post-Pandemic Boom a Great Big Dud?

“I want to talk about happy things, man.” – President Joe Biden, July 2, 2021

Lasting Disaster

The prices of certain commodities are down.  But not down enough to proclaim price inflation dead.

Lumber futures, for example, declined more than 40 percent in June.  This marked the largest price decline for lumber since the 1970s.  But after spiking from about $495 per thousand board feet in October 2020 to over $1,423 in April 2021, lumber’s current price of $718 is still almost double its 30 year average.

Futures for lean hogs have also pulled back of late.  After reaching an interim high of 121.95 cents per pound on June 9, they’re currently priced at 110.10.  Still, even with this recent decline, lean hogs have increased over 57 percent since the beginning of 2021.

Just one year ago, raw sugar futures were priced at 11.76 cents per pound.  In February, they hit a four year high of 18.49.  At the time of this writing, raw sugar futures are priced at 17.45.  Apparently, some of this price increase is attributed to concerns about dry weather impacting Brazilian sugarcane output.  Should you sweeten your portfolio? Continue reading →

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Independence Day in America Circa 2021

[Editor’s Note: This edition of the Economic Prism has been published in years past to coincide with the Independence Day holiday.  The themes explored within grow more relevant with each passing year.  Thus we are republishing it with several light updates.  Enjoy!]

Merry Mobs

The days are long and hot in the Northern Hemisphere when real American patriots spit upon their hands and hoist the stars and stripes.  On July 4th, the free and brave, with duty and self-sacrifice, begrudgingly accept federal holiday pay to stand tall upon their own two feet.  Rugged individualism and uncompromising independence are essential to their character.

With purpose and intent, they assemble as merry mobs along the shoreline to celebrate American Independence.  Freedom lovers – descendants of Andrew Jackson – gather to eat hotdogs and pitch horseshoes while downing tipples of corn syrup and fermented grain.  When the sun slips beyond the western horizon and the stars twinkle bright, they hoot and holler at the brilliance of fireworks and sparkling pyrotechnics. Continue reading →

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