Powell’s Pivot to Nowhere

Posted on March 4, 2022 by MN Gordon

Slow growth.  High prices.  The U.S. economy – and the global economy – was already facing these disagreeable prospects before Putin invaded Ukraine.

But now, with Russian tanks rolling through the “borderland,” negative supply shocks to the global economy will take things to a whole new level.  The dial on nastiness has been cranked up to maximum.  How all the madness is reconciled will be equally nasty.

The major stock market indexes, for example, had already been slipping and sliding since early January.  But now they’re beset with panic and fear…and sudden moments of greed.  These emotions play out in erratic wave patterns that can be characterized as massive freefalls punctuated by episodic relief rallies.

The initial delight that the potential world war would slow forthcoming Fed rate hikes quickly faded to a sucker’s rally.  The reality of it all is much greater than the variance between a 25 or 50 basis point rate hike.  The fact is, even with the stock market’s decline over the last two months, there’s still much, much further to fall. Continue reading →

Posted in Inflation, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

Would Putin Have Attacked if Oil was $50 per Barrel?

Posted on February 25, 2022 by MN Gordon

The ruling elite loves spending money.  But only when it’s your money; not theirs.

Of all modern economic dogmas, the one held dearest by the ruling elite is the belief government can spend the economy to growth using debt.  Certainly, government spending redirects economic growth to government preferred industries.

But government stimulus doesn’t grow the economy.  How could it?  Aside from stacks of legislation, levies, and fees, government doesn’t produce a doggone thing.

To the contrary, government usurps capital and uses it in ways businesses and individuals otherwise wouldn’t.  Specifically, the government uses its heavy hand to distribute capital to places that, absent coercion, people wouldn’t pay for.  These generally equate to value subtracting endeavors – like bullet trains in California’s Central Valley at a price tag of $105 billion and growing.

The great government giveaway that was executed by the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury to somehow counteract the economic consequences of mandatory lockdown orders has come with its own consequences.  Namely, the printing press financed stimulus has propelled consumer price inflation to a 40 year high. Continue reading →

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How to Reconcile Numbers that Don’t Pencil Out

Posted on February 18, 2022 by MN Gordon

Do you want to make a fortune?

Then open a Lamborghini dealership in the Midwest.

That’s what investment biker Jim Rogers recommended in late-2014.  He also recommended becoming a farmer.  According to Rogers, you can make a lot of money as a farmer – even if you’re not any good at it.

“Buy yourself some land and become a farmer […] because there’s going to be some fortunes made in agriculture and when an industry breaks full faith even mediocre people make a lot of money because everything is going right.

“So if you really want to make a lot of money, that’s the best way to do it.  Alternatively, you can buy land and lease it out if you can find a good farmer.

“There are other ways to make money in agriculture, of course.  You can open a chain of restaurants in the agricultural areas of the world because the farmers are going to be much more successful in the next 30 years than in the last 30 years.  Or open shops.  Get the Lamborghini dealership in the Midwest.  There’s more than one way to make money in agriculture.”

Did farmers get rich during the years since Rogers’ recommendation?  Have Lamborghini dealerships in the Midwest boomed? Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | 27 Comments

Blowups and an Epic Mega-Catastrophe are Coming

Posted on February 11, 2022 by MN Gordon

“Let no man deceive you by any means…” counsels the Good Book (2 Thessalonians 2:3).

As we understand it, Apostle Paul, if that’s in fact the author, was attempting to correct some misinformation floating around Thessalonica in first century Greece.  Someone – perhaps a bureaucrat – was spreading rumors that Christ had already returned.

Paul didn’t buy it.  He clarified that the Anti-Christ would first appear and proclaim himself God.

Did Paul know what he was talking about?  Has the Anti-Christ appeared, yet?

Last year Dr. Anthony Fauci proclaimed himself “the science”.  Thus, he may not have proclaimed himself God.  But he is something gawdawful.

Much like Joe Rogan, and his pains to correct misinformation spread by Fauci, Paul had many enemies and detractors.  Which is fine.

The pursuit of truth is rarely a popular path.  Just ask the ghost of John T. Flynn.  Telling the truth is a most excellent way to make enemies in high places. Continue reading →

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments