There are fantastic abnormalities taking place in front of our very eyes. The 10-Year Treasury Note is yielding just 1.58 percent and gold, despite a recent pullback, stubbornly sits above $1,700 per ounce. In other words, people are simultaneously expecting deflation and inflation.
Then there’s the stock market. One “analyst” says it’s poised for a fall. Another says it’s consolidating for its next great run up. Both are right – and wrong – as far as we can tell.
The S&P 500, if you hadn’t noticed, is below where it was at the turn of the millennium. Back then everyone knew that, over the long run, stocks always go up. But these days the long run is understood to be much longer than it was back then. But how long is the long run?
Over in Japan, for instance, they’re exploring just how long the long run really is. On January 29, 1989, almost 23-years ago, the NIKKEI 225 closed at 38,916. Yesterday it closed at 9,545…down over 75-percent after all this time. Continue reading







