Safe Investment Losses

The Labor Department reported Friday that employers added 195,000 new jobs to their payrolls in June.  Nonetheless, the unemployment rate remained at 7.6 percent, as people entering the workforce subtracted out all job gains.  Still, markets were delighted.

The DOW closed the day up 147 points…and the S&P 500 increased a full percent.  But is this really a sign the economy is improving?

An ever so slight scratch below the surface of the headline number reveals a picture that is less sanguine.  The underemployment rate, which includes people who want to work but who have given up searching and those working part time who want to work full time, jumped to 14.3 percent from 13.8 percent in May.  Moreover, the new jobs that were added are not the type of jobs that grow the economy…

“More than half of the jobs were in the retail and leisure and hospitality sectors, which typically are relatively low-paid,” reported Reuters. Continue reading

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Programs to Control the Uncontrollable

Things are melting up – and melting down – the world over.  What’s more, summer’s only just begun.  While Americans were dreaming of block parties and beach bashes as they punched out for the Independence Day holiday Wednesday afternoon, Cairo was under military coup.

Tanks and troops took to the streets.  Soon after, as the sun set on the Egyptian capital, the sun also set on Mohamed Morsi’s presidency.  After that fireworks filled the sky.

What does it mean…exactly, who knows?  One headline says the turmoil in Egypt is what pushed oil above $102.  Sounds like as good a reason as any.

Markets were closed in the United States yesterday.  So we looked further east for dots to connect.  In Japan, we noticed stocks are melting up again.  After crashing 20 percent from mid-May to mid-June, the Nikkei 225 has run back up 12 percent.  What to make of it?

Was the selloff overblown?  Will the new run-up last? Continue reading

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Howl at the Moon

“Fate is nothing but the deeds committed in a prior state of existence.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson

Safety and Care

Uncompromising independence, rugged individualism, and limitless personal freedom were once essential to the American character.  According to popular American folklore, they still are.  We have some reservations.

Somehow, for the greater good of us all, Washington has become a sort of money sucking vortex over the last 100 years.  At the Capitol Building sits a cadre of legislatures and an army of staffers operating with a devout singleness of purpose…to work up new laws to take your money and steal your freedom.  This, of course, is all for your safety and care.

New rules, proposed rules, and notices are published daily in the Federal Register.  A quick read of the daily publication will enlighten and alarm you to the vast array of agencies, departments, and commissions and their vast array of daily drivel.

Yet it’s not just the federal government you must contend with.  Some state and local governments are even worse. Continue reading

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Where the Big Lessons will be Learned

Reading the headlines of this week’s data reports tells the story of a strong, robust economy.  According to the Commerce Department announcement on Tuesday, single-family home “sales increased 2.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 476,000 units – the highest level since July 2008.”

But that’s not all.  We also got word on Tuesday that U.S. consumer confidence is also at a five year high.  AP reports

“The Conference Board, a New York-based private research group, said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index jumped to 81.4 in June.  That’s the best reading since January 2008.  And it is up from May’s reading of 74.3, which was revised slightly downward from 76.2.”

Yesterday the Commerce Department confirmed that people are earning more money.  On top of that, they’re using their increased proceeds to buy more stuff… Continue reading

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