Here Comes the Flood

The United States’ economy is flying high.  In fact, when compared to Japan and Europe, the state of the union is strong and prosperous.  What’s more, it’s only getting better.

The unemployment rate continues its slow soft slide downward.  It was at just 5.8 percent the last we checked.  Meanwhile, consumer prices are rising at a benign 1.7 percent.  At the same time, annual GDP is increasing at a healthy 3.5 percent clip.  On top of that, the stock market continues to make everyone rich.

There are occasional moments of idyllic perfection where one must pinch themselves to know if they are really happening.  These are the green flash instances…like when Teddy Kennedy up and died.  Out of nowhere the stars align and the good spirits reign.

Sometimes these moments are compelled by careful planning and exacting fortitude.  Other times their harmonic convergence is the result of sheer dumb luck.  We don’t make too much of the how or why…we’ll take what we can get.

At the end of the day it really doesn’t matter what the triggers were. Continue reading

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Hold On To Your Gold

Something befuddling’s going on.  It is quite the brain twister.  As night follows day and day follows night, should not price inflation follow the massive $4 trillion Fed balance sheet expansion that’s happened over the last 6-years?

Simply connecting the dots quickly leads one to a ‘yes’ conclusion.  More money chasing a static number of goods and services should result in price inflation.  For prices must rise to balance out all the new money.

This, of course, makes good practical sense.  In fact, it might even lead someone to sell dollars and buy gold.  Certainly they’d have a bullet proof rationale guiding their decision.

Yet the world isn’t always a practical place.  Often time things happen that don’t make sense.  Sometimes the exact opposite of what should logically occur ends up happening.

Gold’s price peaked around $1,900 an ounce in 2011.  Gold’s currently at about $1,180.  That’s over 37 percent off its high.  What is going on? Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

How to Kill a City Financially

There are pleasant hamlets where the radiant warmth of sunshine smiles down and sprinkles daily blessings and abundance.  There are other places where the sun no longer shines.  Remnants of past jollies cast shadows of decay.  Sources of prosperity have rusted over like an old tin garbage can.

Scranton, Pennsylvania, hitched its wagon to the wrong horse nearly a century ago.  But it took nearly 50-years for this to become apparent.  Sometimes the source of an economic boon is ultimately the cause of demise.

For Scranton, the blessing of an abundance of anthracite coal brought unhindered growth and prosperity to the city from the turn of the 20th century until about the end of World War II.  By the mid-1930s, the city’s population had expanded to over 140,000.  Nearly double today’s population.

But, alas for Scranton, the world is dynamic.  It is ever changing.  Too much of a good thing leads to over dependence.  Or, as Hyman Minsky observed, stability leads to instability. Continue reading

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Putin Signs Secret Pact to Crush NATO

Putin Signs Secret Pact to Crush NATO
By Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Investment Strategist

Back on September 11 and 12, there was a summit meeting in a city that involved an organization that most Americans have never heard of.  Mainstream media coverage was all but nonexistent.

The place was Dushanbe, the capital of Tajikistan, a country few Westerners could correctly place on a map.

But you can bet your last ruble that Vladimir Putin knows exactly where Tajikistan is.  Because the group that met there is the Russian president’s baby.  It’s the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), consisting of six member states: Russia, China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.

The SCO was founded in 2001, ostensibly to collectively oppose extremism and enhance border security.  But its real reason for being is larger.  Putin sees it in a broad context, as a counterweight to NATO (a position that the SCO doesn’t deny, by the way). Continue reading

Posted in Marin Katusa, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment