Tag Archives: jerome powell
The CAPE Crusader Unveils a Bubble
When you see a CAPE of 37.05, you’re looking at a market that is more than twice as expensive as its long-term average. This isn’t a slight overpricing. Rather, it’s an extreme overvaluation. This is, in fact, a bubble. Continue reading
Suffering the Fed’s Mistakes
The proof is in the pudding. The Fed’s track record over many decades shows it’s unable to get interest rate policy right. In fact, over just the last 30 years Fed policies have orchestrated three massive boom and bust cycles. Continue reading
How the Fed Chokes the Economy
There’s no outlet in the San Joaquin Valley for the salt to flush. The valley is the basin’s terminus. Thus, in this grand paradox, the relative freshness of the excess water that is keeping the farmland alive is, at the same time, the source of the salt that is killing it. Continue reading
Inflation and Chaos
Data can be contrived to tell whatever story the author desires. Data contrived by government agencies is particularly susceptible to the imposed will of the overseeing administration. Policy makers want the data to make them look good and to justify their decisions. Continue reading
