If you’re concerned the economy may be slipping back into a recession…guess what? We’re already in one.
At least that’s what Lakshman Achuthan, Co-Founder & Chief Operations Officer of Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday.
“What we said back in December was that the most likely start date for the recession would be in Q1 and if not then, by the middle of 2012. I’m here to reaffirm that,” said Achuthan. “I think we’re in a recession. I think we’re in a recession already. As I said back there, it is very rare that you know you’re going into recession when you’re going into recession.”
ECRI, if you didn’t know, is the leading authority on business cycles. According to The Economist Magazine in 2005, “ECRI is perhaps the only organization to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.” Through the years leading up to the Great Recession and to the present, ECRI claims to have furthered this track record of prescient forecasts. Continue reading







