Europe Doubles Down on Greek Bailout

Hot dry Santa Ana winds blow from the east across the California desert every fall.  They rip and roar their way over and down the mountain passes and rumble their way across the vast Los Angeles basin, pushing the smog trapped against the San Gabriel Mountains out to sea.

For a day or two the sunsets are magnificent from our perch in Long Beach…thick hues of oranges and pinks floating lowly above the Pacific Ocean as the sun dips behind the Palos Verdes Peninsula.  But before long the Santa Ana winds have dried the flora out to tinder kindling.  Sometimes nothing more happens. Other times, with just one spark, Malibu Canyon explodes in flames.

There’s a financial Santa Ana blowing across Europe this summer.  Hot dry winds, originating from Greece, blow west across Italy like volcanic ash from Mount Vesuvius nearly 2000 years ago.  They whip their way west across the Iberian Peninsula drying out the finances of Spain and Portugal to an explosive tinderbox.  But the winds don’t stop there…

They reach gale force as they gust across the Bay of Biscay, encircling France and Germany on the west, while blasting northward past the Celtic Sea where they parch Irelands finances like an Irish coffee…or an Irish car bomb. Continue reading

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Broken Promises Broken Dreams

White House and Congressional efforts to reach a Grand Bargain are merely a distraction. The basis for such a bargain – reduce spending so the debt limit can be raised – is fraud and folderol.  Nothing that we’ve seen suggests the government’s even pretending to solve the debt problem.

Last week’s discussions, before they fell apart, centered on deficit cuts of $4 trillion, $2 trillion or $1.5 trillion over 10 years.  These proposals are nonsense.  For example, $2 trillion in deficit cuts over 10 years amounts to a deficit reduction of just $200 billion per year.

The government’s current deficit is $1.65 trillion.  So under that proposal the government would have to borrow $1.45 trillion per year rather than $1.65 trillion.  What this means is, either way, over the next 10 years the national debt will double.  Moreover, what this means is the big charade going on in Washington is not addressing the debt problem.

Major news organizations are not reporting this.  They are too enamored with the politicking going on…and who’s walking out of meetings.  The problem, you see, is not the need to increase the debt limit.  The problem is the government’s finances have reached and exceeded total debt saturation. Continue reading

Posted in Government Debt, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

A Run on the United States Government

Things are ugly out there.  The governments of the world are going broke in unison.  Over in Europe, the credit ratings of Greece, Ireland, and Portugal have been downgraded to junk bond status.  Italian and Spanish debt is sure to follow.

If just one of these countries were to default, the big banks in France and Germany, which loaned out all the money, will be wiped out.

Here in the U.S. things keep slipping and sliding along.  Congress and the President can’t figure out how to cut spending so they can raise the debt limit…if you can believe that.  But that’s not the half of it…

The economy’s taking on water like the Titanic and we have a lunatic in the Federal Reserve that’s hell bent on trying to bail it all out – again – by cranking up the printing press.

“We have to keep all the options on the table.  We don’t know where the economy is going to go,” said Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.  Several hours later Moody’s Investor Service placed the nation’s credit rating under review for downgrade.

No doubt, there are limits to everything.  Continue reading

Posted in Government Debt, Michael Rozeff | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Doomed from the Get Go

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research the Great Recession ended in June 2009.  That means the U.S. economy has been in recovery for over two years. Perhaps, semantically, this is so.  But just what type of recovery is this?

It all seemed so peculiar.  One day the newspaper headlines were proclaiming this was the worst economic collapse since the great depression.  The next day all we heard was optimism and economic recovery.

From our vantage point, after all the stimulus and monetary shenanigans from the Federal Reserve, the only notable change we observed was a rapid and prolonged stock market recovery.  We still believe this is a dead cat bounce…a suckers rally for the ages.  But with all the funny money printed over the last three years a dramatic stock market decline could be masked by monetary inflation.

Regardless, off of Wall Street, down on Main Street, where the real economy is, there is one question we can’t seem to shake when assessing the condition of today’s economy…

Namely, where are the jobs?  A simple question, indeed.  Nonetheless, a simple question without an answer.  Here’s what we mean… Continue reading

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment