Oil prices appear to be holding at about $45 per barrel, for now. Gasoline prices are finally coming down too. Here in the land of fruits and nuts we filled up our gas tank over the weekend with the cheap stuff for just $3.19 per gallon. What a deal.
The combination of over production, diminishing global growth, and the end of sanctions against Iran, could keep oil prices down for several years – or more. For southern California commuters, and other consumers, lower oil prices act like an income boost. The savings at the pump can be used to buy more goods.
Ordinarily, lower oil prices, and the potential for greater consumption, would serve to increase the Fed’s favorite metric…aggregate demand. Conceivably lower oil prices could give GDP a bump. So, too, they could allow consumers to pay down debt.
But this is hardly an ordinary, garden variety, cyclical oil price decline. Unfortunately, it is the great big bust that followed the great big boom in U.S. oil and gas development and production. Continue reading







