The Next Frauds to Come Down the Turnpike

The general suspicion that something just ain’t right with the economy has become an obvious reality.  Hope and optimism that somehow things will muddle along, or improve, are fading.  You can see it, feel it, and even smell it.

For example, several new data points were revealed Friday.  Each offered further confirmation that the economy’s not progressing.  Rather, it’s regressing.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, producer prices dropped 0.4 percent last month and 1.6 percent on an annualized basis.  Naturally, wholesale prices go down when the dollar goes up.  They also go down when there’s weakening demand.

One would think that a strong dollar would encourage greater demand in the U.S. for imported goods.  Yet that’s not what’s happening at all.  “For the first time in at least a decade,” reports the Wall Street Journal, “imports fell in both September and October at each of the three busiest U.S. seaports.”

Reduced demand for doodads from China and other exporters likely translates into weaker U.S. retail sales.  Currently, this appears to be happening. Continue reading

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Is Janet Yellen a Jenny Ass?

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s at the top of her game.  She knows exactly what to do.  She’s a PhD economist, after all.  Her various affiliations with the Fed go back nearly 40 years.  She knows what the correct Fed response is for every situation.  She knows all.

But Yellen has her work cut out for her.  Attempting to pilot an economy via monetary policy is not for a feeble mind.  There are some answers that aren’t to be found in a textbook.  There are other answers that aren’t present in graphs or dot plot charts.  Sometimes squinted eyes, a furrowed brow, and deliberate prevarication are needed to parse out precisely what to do.

At this very moment, Yellen has a big brain twister panging her prefrontal cortex.  She can’t do what she thinks she’s supposed to do.  So, too, what she thinks she’s supposed to do she can’t do.  The economic data – the gospel truth – won’t let her.

The latest jobs report, and a 5 percent unemployment rate, tells Yellen she should raise the federal funds rate in December. Continue reading

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Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead

Something rather strange is going on.  Ten year Treasury yields and gold are simultaneously envisaging inflation and deflation.  Yields on the ten year Treasury note have jumped from 1.98 percent to 2.34 percent during the last 30 days.  Gold’s price, on the other hand, has dropped about $100 an ounce during this same time.

Who’s right…Treasury yields or gold?  Will there be inflation or deflation?

These were the questions that faded from our thoughts as we traversed east along the 60 freeway from Los Angeles to Oak Glen last Saturday.  The answers seemed to matter less and less the further the urban sprawl receded behind us.

Oak Glen, located just past the outer limits of Southern California’s sea of concrete, is a world apart.  The air is clean and crisp at its mile high elevation.  The locals are relaxed and amiable…not frenetic and mad.

There are no stoplights or franchise drive-thrus.  Billboards and transmission lines do not blight the landscape. Continue reading

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Another Government Ponzi Scheme Starts to Crack – Do You Depend on It?

Another Government Ponzi Scheme Starts to Crack – Do You Depend on It?
By Nick Giambruno, International Man

Government employees get to do a lot of things that would land an ordinary citizen in prison.

For example, it’s legal for them to threaten and commit offensive, rather than defensive, violence.  They can take property from others without their consent.  They spy on anyone’s email and bank accounts whenever they please.  They go into trillions of dollars in debt and then stick the unborn with the bill.  They counterfeit the currency.  They lie with misleading statistics and use accounting wizardry no business could get away.  And this just scratches the surface…

The U.S. government also gets to run a special type of Ponzi scheme.

According to the Merriam-Webster dictionary a Ponzi scheme is:

“[A]n investment swindle in which some early investors are paid off with money put up by later ones in order to encourage more and bigger risks.” Continue reading

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