When the Freaks Run Wild

The unpleasant sight of a physical absurdity is both grotesque and interesting.  Only the most disciplined individual can resist an extra peek at a three-legged hunch back with face tattoos.  The disfigurement has the odd effect of turning the stomach and twisting the mind in unison.

After repeated exposure, however, the shock of an absurdity is reduced to that of vanilla ice cream.  Somehow, even the extremely preposterous becomes commonplace after a while.  For example, a panhandling Batman doesn’t get a second look in Hollywood.  That persona comes a dime a dozen.

Yet just because an absurdity’s been watered down to the seemingly ordinary, doesn’t mean it has become any less ridiculous.  Rather, the viewer has become conditioned to the absurdity.  The abnormal has been calibrated to a feigning normal.

Extreme market intervention by central planners has been going on for so long that the distorted conditions it produces are considered normal.  The Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio (CAPE Ratio) of the S&P 500 is currently more than double its historic average.  But no one, save a few grumpy old farts, are alarmed by this.  Like a freak at a freak show, it all seems perfectly normal. Continue reading

Posted in Inflation, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

All the Makings of a Major Economic Fiasco

About 6,940 miles west of Washington DC, and at roughly the same latitude, sits Beijing.  Within China’s massive capital city, sits the Country’s paramount leader, Xi Jinping.  According to Forbes, Xi is currently the most powerful and influential person in the world.

Xi, no doubt, is one savvy fellow.  He always knows the right things to say.  He offers his nation’s citizens the “Chinese Dream.”  They consume it like boysenberry funnel cakes at the county fair.

So, too, Xi always knows the right things to do.  He elaborates his vision for securing world dominance through something called the Belt and Road Initiative.  His people get behind it without question.

But all is not bliss for Xi…

After decades of hard work, dedication, and loyalty to the Communist Party of China, Xi finally rose to the top of the trash heap in 2016.  That’s when the party gave him the elite title of core leader.  What a disappointment it must have been to first look out across the geopolitical landscape and see a boorish New York blowhard like President Trump snarling back at him. Continue reading

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Are You Prepared for the End of Fake Money?

Today we begin with a fundamental question: What is money?

This, no doubt, is an important question.  And we ask it with clear intent and purpose.  Namely, we want to better understand how it’s possible for America to rack up such a massive trade deficit with China.

America’s trade deficit with China, in 2017 alone, was $375 billion.  That’s a gap of over $31 billion a month – or $1 billion a day.  We believe having a better grasp on what money is will bring clarity to the nasty trade deficit that’s motivating today’s burgeoning trade war.

With respect to our initial inquiry we turn to Victorian economist William Stanley Jevons for edification.  In his 1875 work, Money and the Mechanism of Exchange, Jevons stated that money has four functions.  It’s a medium of exchange, a common measure of value, a standard of value, and a store of value.

Many deficiencies with today’s renditions of money, including the dollar, appear when applying these functions to the present system of floating exchange rates. Continue reading

Posted in Economy, MN Gordon | Tagged , , , , | 9 Comments

The True Sport of MAGA

One of the more extraordinary things that investors have seen in living memory is unfolding at this precise moment.  This goes for business leaders, money managers, veteran Wall Streeters, value investors, 401(k) holders, momentum traders, FX guys, gold bugs, technical gurus, chartists, pork belly speculators, quants, astrologists, Larry Summers, put option sellers, dweebs and geeks, millennial index fund enthusiasts, and everyone in between.

They’re all craning their necks in unison.  They can hardly believe their eyes.  Up on the world stage, and on a daily basis, President Donald Trump chest bumps international leaders with wanton abandon.

Donald Tusk, Justin Trudeau, Xi Jinping, Angela Merkel, and even the new leftist Mexican victor, Juan Trump, have President Trump posturing towards them as if they’re facing off at a weigh in for a heavyweight fight.  The sight is absolutely ludicrous, if one is in the mood for a reality TV show – or a practical joke. Continue reading

Posted in MN Gordon, Politics | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment